Possible 500 pip trade in the EURUSD

Euro Flag

You know that before taking a trade I like to do a complete analysis of both, the long term and the short term charts.

I do this to make sure that both, long and short term charts are pointing in the same direction, therefore the likelihood of my trade moving in the intended direction increases.

But there is another reason of why I like to do this…

I while back I was reading an article about Warren Buffet and how he thought about risk… He said something about risk that became part of the way I see the market right now:

“Risk comes from not knowing what you are doing”

You know something, he is dead right about it!

From that moment, I understood that it is very important to try to understand what the market is doing right now.

Once you understand what the market is doing right now, you also know what the market is likely to do, and having that information could be the difference between a profitable trader and a trader with negative results.

What do you think?

Anyways… here is why I think there is a possible 500 pip trade in the EURUSD.

EURUSD Long Term Analysis

The EURUSD is currently trading near a LT level, that means that we still dont know which way its heading…

EURUSD 1D

But there are two possible scenarios:

  1. The market gets rejected from this level and retraces back to the next resistance level (1.3507).
  2. The market breaks through this level and continues its way down until it hits the next support level at 1.2800.

So if the second scenario unfolds, we’ll get a 500 pip ride to the next LT level.

Now, how when should we start looking for trade opportunities here?

We need to analyze the short term charts for that…

EURUSD Short Term Analysis

Here is the short term range:

EURUSD 1H

  • If the EURUSD breaks the upper resistance level, the first scenario ir likely to complete.
  • If the EURUSD breaks the lower support level, the second scenario is likely to unfold.

I hope is the latter one…

Your turn

Are you currently trading the EURUSD?

What do you think about my trading plan?

What other currency pairs are you trading?

Share your thoughts

Euro analysis, EURUSD, forex


Raul Lopez

I've been trading the markets for more than 15 years. I believe the best way to trade is by adapting to the market conditions. You can learn it too, join our community .