Tag: AUDUSD Analysis

AUDUSD

It’s almost half of the year, and a good time to review our trades and performance on the first 6 months of our trading…

So how is your trading so far this year? Has it been different from your performance in the last few years?

Because the market has changed, that’s for sure. This is the reason why now I try to profit from both, short and long term swings… You never know.

Let me know in the comment section.

AUDUSD Long term Analysis

Here is the weekly chart:

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Hey how is your trading going? Actually… let met take a guess!

If you have been trading the EURUSD… you are not doing “that” well…

How do I know this… well, take a look at the following EURUSD chart:

EURUSD Chart

It’s been almost impossible to trade in the last 45 days… notice how the big moves happened during important announcements, and as you already know, its very difficult to trade them.

If you’ve been successfully trading the EURUSD I’d like to hear about it… let me know in the comment section.

Now, if you have been looking for trades on other pairs or crosses, such as the AUDUSD… you might be doing a better job…

So… did I miss?

Anyway…

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AUDUSD

First of all, I want to thank everyone who took the time to send me your suggestions about the content, type of analyses, etc that you would like me to write about…

If you still want to send me your feedback, please do it: info@straightforex.com

I’ll really appreciate it!

One of the suggestions that kept coming was that I should do a more in depth analysis of the short term charts…

And you know what, I will definitely focus more on the short term charts, on both: short and long term charts, both of them are important…

Anyway…

Now to the topic!

This is why the AUDUSD has been my favorite currency pair in the last year

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Forex Currencies

Hey we have plenty of fundamental announcements coming up this week. Just to name a few:

Monday (yesterday): AUD interest rate

Wednesday: JPY interest rate

Thursday: GBP and EUR interest rate

Friday: USD Non-farm payrolls, CAD unemployment report

Pretty busy isn’t it?

You know how I handle them, I’ve wrote about it a few weeks ago, what I can say is that I’m just going to trade what I see on the charts, I’m not going to get biased on what I think the market will do based on fundamental announcements, etc.

Do you agree with me?

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Have you ever wondered whats the best way to determine the trend of the market?

There are plenty of tools, indicators, etc including:

  • Technical indicators such as RSI, MACD, Momentum, etc
  • Fibonacci retracements and extensions
  • Elliot Waves
  • Gann cycles
  • Other tools

You name it… Some of them are pretty subjective, and some other techniques are good.

But the question remains, among them all, which one is the best?

I don’t know about you, but I think trading is not a game, and I rather use something objective…

So to determine the best tool, I’d recommend you to take the following considerations. Make your strategy:

  • As objective as possible (there will always be a certain degree of subjectivity)
  • As simple as possible (KISS principle)

Once your strategy (or system) these two characteristics, you’ll have a system with a very good profit potential :)

Ok, so now, want to know what my take on this? What is as objective and simple as possible?

You guessed it.

Support and resistance levels plus price action. 

In todays article, I’m going to show you how you can use support and resistance levels plus price action to make a chart talk to you, to show you how to convert a chart like this one:

Naked AUDUSD chart

Into actionable and reliable trading advice.

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If you’ve been reading my blog for a while you know how much I like to have trading plans…

And by trading plans I mean a clear picture of what the market needs to do, to make me open my trades.

You have no idea of simple it is to trade, once you have a clear trading plan…

Anyway… here is my plan for the AUDUSD

Let me show you first my long term chart:

AUDUSD

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Sometimes we like to overcomplicate things, we pull up our charts, use 10 indicators (just to determine which way to trade) then we use 10 more to determine our entry…

But I believe trading should be simpler than that, and in order to get there, a clear and simple trading plan makes all the difference.

Look at this chart, and try to come up with a plan, then compare it with mine (below):

AUDUSD Analysis

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I know, all these bad news about Greece, Spain, and other European countries make it difficult to trade some currencies, specially the EURUSD and USDCHF…

But for sure there are other currency pairs that have a very well defined market condition, and we are able to trade.

Here are a few of them:

AUDUSD – Clear bullish condition, see how it got rejected from the bottom of the range?

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Take a look at this AUDUSD Setup

Hope you all had a great weekend!

Did you trade the NFP announcement? If you did, how did you do?

What do you think about the AUDUSD? Since last week I’ve been monitoring the AUDUSD, I like the way it is trading and not it is about to reach the

ST resistance level, which is where I’m looking to go short. Take a look at this chart:

My trading plan:

Wait for a retracement to the ST resistance level at 1.0244, if the market gives me significant downward pressure, I’ll go short.

What do you think?

Have a great week ahead!

Raul Lopez
Forex Coaching

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